An isolated concurrence so unlikely that its suspicious by itself. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. I do agree with Dave that it is safe to assume that places typically get named for a reason, especially if the name sounds ominous, like Devils, Demons, or Hells something or other. Watch on. For the profile point, it means that more weight should be given to cases where the disappearance after separation was abrupt, but also that the feeling unwell or the wildly running into a forest-type separations should be looked at separately. On the internet. This invokes a motivation or mentality that either has something to do with genetics or culture, or a specific grudge. In any event, I believe that Dave is correctly focusing on the cases where the most inexplicable travel speeds or distances took place. In the Dennis Martin case, the Martin family went on a hike into a forest, and in the forest, they met another Martin family. Interestingly, and horrifyingly, the screams and howls recorded in the case of Henry McCabe, who was found dead without any apparent cause, do resemble the noises made by people who are tazed. The forests that are not protected have much less regulated traffic, much lower biodiversity, are much more likely to be randomly cut down or otherwise messed with, and likely lack continuity to ancient times. Its quite possible that the population of people who visit national parks differs significantly from the whole population of the given states or countries under normal circumstances. Anything that makes you more visible from a longer distance by default makes you an easier target for any kind of predator, animal, human, or otherwise. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. The question is, why would a sophisticated perpetrator remove (and sometimes return) clothing, and not understand how it works? Who knows, maybe thats why the urban disappearances now tend to be targeted at young, physically and mentally fit people. Or at least not any more mysteriously than provably falling off a cliff, and thats the only case I could find. While our current medical science is far from perfect, the real number of truly unknown causes of death appears to be quite low, somewhere in the range of 1.34 per 100,000 (in the U.K.) and 15 per 100,000 (in the U.S.). Think of it as a cosmic-level tool to bring attention of specific types of people or individuals to specific things, while hiding the act itself. Right off the bat, it is important to distinguish coincidence from correlation. There is at least one case in which the dog was proven to have been almost certainly fed (venison), which might indicate some perpetrator may have been more respectful of the life of the dog than that of the human target, as well as there are cases of dogs likely not having spent time in the area where they got lost, like the one dehydrated dog found in a swampland, or a number of cases of dogs being found in a surprisingly good condition. The reason why amnesia always seems contrived in TV shows and movies when used more than minimally is that it is rare in real life. However, if you are running some sort of medical experiment, the three most logical things to do are to get a DNA sample (ideally reproductive cells), to perform a neurological exam, and to get a stool sample, which includes the gut bacteria. Medical emergency would then prevent you from wandering away very far, unless it was a psychotic break, but regardless, many of the missing were in excellent physical and mental health. This leaves a sudden medical emergency, or an animal or human attack, that either quickly render you unconscious, or force you to be quiet. However, this only calls for a more thorough screening process for the cases to control for these possibilities. It would make much more sense for this tech to be involved in the urban cases. How can we prove otherwise? Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. Profile points that make people more likely to go missing or to not be found in general (bad weather, dogs and trackers failing to track, etc.) Connection: Directed by David Paulides. The U.K. study also suggests that the truly undeterminable deaths (called the sudden adult death syndrome there) can be incorrectly misdiagnosed as a different cause of death as much as two thirds of the time. Meanwhile, after Dennis went missing, the Key family, looking for bears some distance away, saw a dark man-type figure carrying something on its shoulder, a key piece of the puzzle. Ignoring mind control for now (which is technically doable with advanced enough technology that we are already developing), someone who can remotely scan or edit brains can probably also stop someones heart with a more advanced version of taser. I have never heard of a single case in the history of my country of anyone going missing mysteriously while picking mushrooms. Finally, if you think about it, its important to understand that human clothing can be confusing to a highly intelligent, highly scientifically advanced species who has studied us for ages. Taken together, it is safe to assume that the men in question have something going on with their appearance, like advanced camouflage or perception-altering ability. Sure, it would be somewhat difficult to hide the act of construction, but again, even your standard government can pull that off. Better yet, there are a few cases in which the body was reported to be completely frozen, in a non-freezing environment. This one focuses a lot on hunters, people that typically know what they're doing in the woods / wouldn't do something stupid resulting in their disappearance. If we can already think of that, and undoubtedly would do it ourselves given the opportunity, its not crazy. This is one of the profile points that may have a completely mundane explanation, which could be proven. In this light, it would only be strange if the person who felt unwell then traveled huge distance, which would be incongruous, or if the person was later found alive and healthy, but with no memory of what happened. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . This is perhaps the main area in which I would like Dave to release tables with exact percentages of just how common various traits among the missing people are, as the first step that needs to be taken in any serious study is to compare the composition of Daves sample with the standard distributions of variables in the normal demographics of the involved states or countries. And thats just the first step. If you have any theories or suggestions yourselves, Im all ears. Watch Missing 411 here free: https://geni.us/Missing_411Based on the books series written by David Paulides Missing 411 chronicles the unsolved yet eerily s. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. Furthermore, if I understand the abstract of the U.S. study correctly, 5% of autopsy reports in the U.S. list the cause of death as undetermined, even though the real number of undeterminable deaths is much lower than that. In theory, both may only be a product of sheer randomness, like number of pirates in the world inversely correlating to CO2 emissions, or they may reflect a statistical artifact caused by how the sample was selected, like unwittingly going by an ordered list. Dave have made some comments over the years that indicate that he initially didnt believe that paradoxical undressing is an actual thing that happens, but after he got predictably criticized for it, he appears to understand it better now. Not to sound too alien-abductiony, but some type of medical examination or procedure would make the most sense. 2019. Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so its a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. What should be done first is a comparison with the distribution of times at which people from a random non-Missing 411 sample disappear in the same areas. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. Paulides shares several perplexing mysteries and investigations. Its too bad that the history of these names isnt particularly well documented in the Americas, but using common sense, one would use such names for places where bad things happen, where people die or go missing, where they feel bad, or at least for remote, haunting areas. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. On the other hand, cities dont appear to be safe either, so Look, squirrel! The latter possibility would imply that even if there werent significantly many of them within the sample in comparison to all people or all park visitors, there may be a specific, several centuries-old genetic reason or personal grudge involved. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. Getting lost in a forest certainly can be a traumatic event, but exhaustion, dehydration, or hypothermia could account for hallucinations, skewed perception, or irrational behavior, but again, not so much for amnesia. I have discussed the German aspect a lot with some people who understand the relevant genetics, and it appears that of all the possible ethnic groups, it wouldnt make much sense to pick Germans. There are no stretches of known science required for someone to be able to create an underground or underwater base. This doc centers on hunters. Clothing really is tricky. gryff42. Overall, the whole dog connection is interesting, but not useful without other evidence. Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. scientists or drones, in order to hide from humanity, youd need a place where you can hide. What I will try to do is use my social science education and research methodology expertise to try to bring some clarity into how all of the variables in these cases seem to be connected. For the first three-fourths or so of the documentary, we're under the impression that they seem to be easy targets for killers or maybe incredibly accident prone. This includes a number of cases of divers not finding the body, but random people on the shore finding it afterwards. While you could come across a person randomly in the forest, it is much harder to be able to single people out, avoid being killed by our weapons (or leaving the dead to be found by us), and cover ones tracks. I think the issue is that Dave by default rules out cases in which they would have made an error. Furthermore, introducing it in the first place or doing things like turning it inside out could screw with pattern recognition AI that was designed to target us looking a particular way. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. From that point of view, this profile point should always be analyzed together with other variables. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldnt have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. Many serious paranormal investigators note the importance of the strange coincidence angle. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. Conventionally speaking, this should be a waste of time, since it basically amounts to following coin tosses. A high-level analysis of patterns behind these strange disappearances. If there is evidence that something weird was going on with the dog, thats the part that should be focused on, in my opinion presence of inexplicable evidence is always more interesting than a correlation alone. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. The person could have fallen into some hard-to-access crevice or got buried. This is why one should look into the work of people like Steph Young or various other paranormal investigators. Usually, the tragic stories are about mushroom poisoning. Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. Nazis were in fact spectacularly wrong about the Arian race, especially in the sense that the Germans are it (theyre not) or that theyre exceptional (not by any objective metric). For this reason alone, this appears to be a strong profile point. When you have such data, a lot of it, about a state of an object, and it doesnt make any sense how it got there from its last known state, what youve got is a proper anomaly. Or any or all of that. I certainly wouldnt be surprised if these were more common for Missing 411 cases than in the general population or among normal park visitors, though it would be interesting to see exactly how much more or less common they are for normal disappearances in the same areas. Sure, random things happen, even extremely unlikely things. The reason why to wait for that could be that it is much less suspicious for a person to disappear while out drinking at night in the city than if they just left their house for no reason in the middle of the night. In the case Elisa Lams death, around the time of her death, NIH was using a test called LAM-ELISA in the area to deal with a tuberculosis outbreak. Overall, the cases that he selected seem to correctly rule out normal cases based on details like there not being low-enough temperatures at all, people getting undressed too quickly after disappearing (before the cold could have set in), or people traveling absurdly long distances after they removed some articles of their clothing, especially if that included shoes or boots in rough terrain. I await suggestions. Moreover, if you could pull this off, you would want to use this technique to help someone or manipulate them without it being traceable back to you, or without it being scientifically provable that it was a communication at all. Id wager that afternoon is the time during which forests see the highest levels of traffic. The. Or at least not in any way in which we understand this type of attack to work. In other words, youd expect these two things to correlate. Missing 411 is a series of books and films, which document cases of people who have gone missing in national parks and elsewhere, and assert that these cases are unusual and mysterious, contrary to data analysis which suggests that they are not actually statistically mysterious or even unexpected. Thats why it is so important to not ignore this data, but instead compile it and look for discrepancies between the normal distribution and Missing 411 distribution of times and dates of disappearances on a large enough sample that will therefore give it sufficient statistical significance and reliability. Its unlikely that all such witnesses could be successfully bribed or threatened with all of the impromptu recordings being destroyed. Like his idea of a probability-based engine many macroscopic physical laws are only aggregates of chaotic movements and interactions going on at the subatomic level. What an apt name, by the way, SADS. The latter type of accounts, mainly collected by folklorists in connection to fairy lore, is consistent with natural spacetime distortions, but it can also be indicative of a special kind of traps being laid in the forest. On this count, I would very much like Dave to publish exact tables showing how significant (meaning frequent) each of the correlating factors is in the Missing 411 sample of cases, ideally in comparison to tables of what is normal for a representative sample of normal missing persons cases. The fact that they were never identified or caught is also the first indication of their organization. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. The ability of any perpetrator to remotely confuse, lure, or in some sense mind control targeted people would also be consistent with the victims leaving essential items behind it would just be an induced brain fart. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. And even in the absence of that, the Czech Republic is crisscrossed with a network of marked tourist trails, with marks dotting trees and rocks along almost all trails that exist in our forests. How do you keep getting bodies into water without it being seen, ever? Disorientation happened to my son and I four years ago in Germany's Teutoburg Forest. This is a suspiciously good record. One that I will totally use in some of my sci-fi or fantasy stories. Speaking of animals, theres of course the dog whistle or similar techniques that could certainly be used to make a dog run into a forest to make its master follow him, and a variety of more sophisticated technologies currently under development, mainly to be used as forms of crowd control. Or I guess you could have built up your whole infrastructure before mankind developed science, or you could be hiding in natural habitats like national forests or parks, so no construction would be needed at all. Its also unusual for such high percentage of adults to remember what happened, but then not report it, to not even make anything up, which would be the only normal alternative explanation. The most common report from adults, adult women specifically, is that of being stalked by weird or strange men. Like to teleport. However, they may not follow that perfectly. The reason why foul play was suspected in this case was that there were burn marks found on the body, which has happened in at least one Missing 411 urban case that Im aware of. Missing 411 cases are a colloquial classification that documents missing person cases that fit a number of criteria: The disappearance occurred in a national park, rural area, or large reserve of public land. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. When I say strange, what I mean is that, for starters, all of the usual suspects have been ruled out, like animal predation, human crime, voluntary disappearance, drowning, etc. In a normal sample of deaths, youd expect roughly 500 unexplained deaths in 500,000. Its also unusual that it seems that its young children who much more often tend to remember and report anything, as opposed to adults. Or Spock. And sure, tests have to be named something and there is a limited number of letters in the alphabet. They were missed by the exhaustive SAR campaign because. The mysterious part is how the bodies got to where they were found. When a Smith family runs into a Smith family, its probably no big deal. How do you manipulate lividity of a corpse, like achieving none? The science is almost there. In the Daves profile, whoever the perpetrators are seem to be perfect, but no one is 100% effective. A type of place from which Missing 411 people tend to vanish and at which they tend to appear. At this point, I believe it is more about what direction I think should be taken in further analyzing the data. Missing 411- David Paulides Presents Cases from Minnesota (Stateley), Yosemite and Alaska (Perkowski) Canam Missing Project. In the last act, a twist no one saw . David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. Starring David Paulides, Cuz Strickland, Bruce Maccabee. I know I said I wont to go into detail on individual cases, but it would be difficult to comment on the coincidences that Paulides points out without pointing them out. It is a significant step forward in the understanding of the missing phenomena that adds several new elements never before identified. On the most basic level, it makes a lot of sense for a predator of any type or motivation to pick either easy targets (like kids, the disabled, the elderly, or less well-armed hunters), or exceptional targets (for the thrill, challenge, or some kind of interrogative or research value), so these attributes should be expected. If you are some sort of wildman creature, you may want to do something primal, like hunt someone to eat them, kidnap someone as a mate or a kid to raise as part of your tribe, get rid of a witness, or attack someone for fun or because they did something to offend you. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. Dave also mentions legends from Hawaii and Indonesia which explain that you should not wear bright clothing if you dont want to offend some kind of spirits, or that some spirits demand that you lie naked face down in their presence, which is how Missing 411 people often are found. Then again, at this point, its not much more than entertaining fiction. All 185 cases fit a narrowly defined profile that was refined after researching thousands of missing person reports; these cases are the most difficult, defy common sense, challenge conventional wisdom and remain . Then again, the alternatives dont exactly seem to be comforting, as they range up to Lovecraftian. Or there at least isnt enough evidence for any of these. Dave may not be the best scientist or statistician, he may have lied or cheated in his life at least once or twice, and he was trying to find evidence for the existence of Bigfoot (plural) before he was approached to look into missing people in national parks. A) the terrain is incredibly difficult to search 100% due to rocks, deadfall etc. A good enough guess should allow you to try to force and maximize the coincidence by removing all normal ways of the expected manipulation happening naturally. Mostly, they just managed to say something like oh my gosh, or my phone is about to go dead, or gave out unsettling noises. 1 hr 37 mins. In this analysis, I will not be going in depth on any of the individual cases, since that is covered quite well by many different videos on this subject that you can find on YouTube, including many hours of interviews with David Paulides on various paranormal podcasts. Like the Missing 411 cases. Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. There is some possibility, given the erratic and illogical behavior of some of the people who testified to what happened to them, that either a mental breakdown, or some sort of suggestion, hypnosis, or mind control technology are to blame. It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. Given that brain damage is almost never involved even in the cases where the Missing 411 subjects were found dead, theres no good explanation for high incidence of amnesia. Missing 411-Eastern U.S. 2012. Missing 411: The Hunters The Missing 411 series initially began as an exploration of strange disappearances in America's national parks. Sometimes to children too young to be able to dress or undress themselves. Thats roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. The cases of inside-out clothing in particular remind me of one potential UFO abduction case of Zigmund Adamski, which happened on the 6th of June 1980 in the U.K. You have no reason to want their poop, specifically. Though there are Missing 411 cases where that didnt help, like when a person was seen chasing a dog into the forest, which only helps explain how people can get lost more often while walking a dog. Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. Im personally not an expert on animal behavior, but as I was told by a biochemist, nothing in biology is 100%. All 185 cases fit a narrowly defined profile that was refined after researching thousands of missing person reports; these cases are the most difficult, defy common sense, challenge conventional wisdom and remain .