These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. Maggie Astor Maggie Astor By clicking Sign Up, I confirmthat I have read and agreeto the Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Voters line up at the Metropolitan Library to cast their ballots in the runoff election for the Senate position, between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and Republican candidate Herschel Walker, in Atlanta, Georgia, November 29, 2022. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock defeated Republican football star Herschel Walker on Tuesday in Georgias Senate runoff election, handing President Joe Biden and his party a key win. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. (Right) Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) meets with community members to encourage them to come out and vote on the first day of early voting on October 17, 2022 in Duluth, Georgia. About an hour after the 7 p.m. About 1.87 million early votes were cast in the runoff between Warnock and Walker, down from the 3.1 million votes cast in Georgia ahead of last year's runoffs. Full results from the runoff election , Advanced to runoff According to FiveThirtyEight's national poll average, Warnock is slightly ahead of Walker by just over 2 points (47.4 percent to 45 percent). Once a reliably red state in national elections, Georgia has emerged in recent cycles as one of the most important and competitive swing states in the U.S. U.S. President Joe Biden arrives aboard Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S., March 8, 2022. Walker faces democratic incumbent raphael warnock in a runoff election on december 6, after neither candidate won an absolute majority of the vote in the initial poll on november 8. Alicia Parlapiano What we expect this year Herschel Walker and Sen. Raphael Warnock are in a tight Georgia Senate race ahead of their debate, a pair of new polls showed. Former college football star and current senatorial candidate Herschel Walker speaks at a rally, as former U.S. President Donald Trump applauds, in Perry, Georgia, U.S. September 25, 2021. "Walker's path to victory is narrow, but it's still there. Polls have closed at 7 p.m. A new poll shows why the U.S. Senate race in Georgia between Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is so close. During the defense's cross-examination of E. Jean Carroll, Trump's attorney asked the writer why she "did not scream" when she was "supposedly raped.". The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. Ruth Igielnik Read more An Emerson College poll released on Thursday shows Warnock with a narrow lead over Walker. Warnock holds a strong 24-point lead among voters 18 to 49 years of age, while . Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. Less than two weeks before the midterms,a second woman came forwardto claim Walker had pushed her to get an abortion. "The embarrassment is just going to keep growing over this," Laura Harth, the campaign director at Safeguard Defenders, told Newsweek. . Warnock first won the seat as part of concurrent Senate runoffs on Jan. 5, 2021, when he and Sen. Jon Ossoff prevailed over Republican incumbents to give Democrats narrow control of the Senate for the start of President Joe Bidens tenure. Sterling praised Georgia's poll workers and election volunteers, some of whom he said have to drive hours to hand deliver ballot count cards to their county headquarters. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) holds a narrow 2 percentage point lead over Republican rival Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff, according to a new survey from Emerson College Polling and . Heres where we think votes remain. Herschel Walker, Republican, advances to a runoff election for the U.S. Senate seat in Georgia. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. John Fetterman. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. DOJ election monitors did not go inside polling places in 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic. That puts pressure on both Warnock and Walker to convince Georgia voters that its worth their time to cast a second ballot, even if the national stakes arent as high. Early voting is underway in Georgia in what promises to be an . praise from former President Donald Trump, SCOTUS Now Just Another Congressional Committee, Secret Chinese Police Stations in Europe Are 'Tip of the Iceberg', Trump's Attorney Just Blew Carroll Rape Case, King Charles Says Royals Require 'Acting Ability', Ukraine Will Regain 'Significant Territory' From Russia, Florida GOP Paves the Way to Help Ron DeSantis Challenge Trump. See the full forecast . . IE 11 is not supported. Among other voters likely to cast their votes using mail-in ballots within the next two weeks, 52 percent said they will back Warnock compared to 44 percent who said they would vote for Walker. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Forty-eight percent of respondents viewed Warnock favorably, compared to 44 percent who had an unfavorable view of him. As of 2 p.m. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. ATLANTA, GEORGIA - DECEMBER 06: Georgia Democratic Senate candidate U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) speaks during an election night watch party at the Marriott Marquis on December 6, 2022 in Atlanta, Georgia. Analysis of tax records by cnn showed walker got a homestead tax exemption for a property in dallas this year, saving him around $1,500. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washingtons 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. And Georgia, you have been praying with your lips and your legs, with your hands and your feet, your heads and your hearts. , Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorados Eighth Congressional District. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Walker's campaign sought to present him as a world-class athlete, a successful businessman, a faithful Christian and an inspirational figure who overcame adversity. Sen. Warnock is competing in a runoff election being held today against his Republican challenger Herschel Walker. That remark, a reference to reporting alleging Walker pushed at least two ex-lovers to have abortions, came in an interview in which Ye expressed praise for Nazis and Adolf Hitler. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. Lazaro Gamio Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. The suit brought by the civil rights group sought additional time for voting after early-morning issues delayed voters' ability to cast ballots by 45 minutes, the group said. Virginias Seventh District is one of three races in the state that could offer an early sign of whether the Democrats can retain control of the House. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. It was not immediately clear how much of the tally comprised early voters, who were believed to favor Warnock. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. ET poll-closing time, and with 49% of the expected vote in, Warnock appeared to be leading Walker, 53.4% to 46.6%, according to NBC's count of the race. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Tonight Walker lost his runoff election to incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA). Nate Cohn The survey also found other indications of a close race, with 32 percent of respondents saying they would definitely vote for Warnock and 13 percent saying they probably would - amounting to less than 50 percent. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. Alicia Parlapiano Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. Similarly, 26 percent said they would definitely vote for Walker and 15 percent said they probably would, while 42 percent said they will definitely not vote for Warnock and 43 percent said the same for Walker. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. , Emilia Sykes, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios 13th Congressional District. The Senate runoff election in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock and Herschel Walker is too early to call, NBC News projected. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. Walker has drawn criticism from Republicans during his runoff campaign for maintaining an unconventional campaign schedule, disappearing for more than a week over Thanksgiving and refusing to speak to reporters at events. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. jimmy tanner sr san francisco,